Archive for the ‘Watch List’ Category

As from reports on RTTNews.com

HollyFrontier Corp (NYSE:HFC) – Has released that its Q4 net income to stock holders has surged to $223.38 Million or $1.06 a share from $14.72 Million or $0.13 per share in previous year. The increase in  net income came from the effects of increased operating scale from the recent merger, and historically strong Q4 refining margins. The Overall gross margins were set at $15.32 per barrel produced. This was a staggering 95% increase from last year. Other key things to note is Sales as well as other revenues for Q4 had tremendous gains of $4.97 Billion from $2.21 Billion in the same quarter from a year prior. These revenues of which were mainly from the El Dorado, and Cheyenne refineries, and as well as 19 percent  increase in Q4 year over year product sale prices.

Mike Jennings, President & CEO of the company said, “We are delighted with our fourth quarter results as we conclude our first fiscal year as a combined company. Although overall product crack spreads narrowed during the quarter as the WTI crude differentials compressed, we generated solid profits for the quarter and remained near the top of our peer group in profitability per barrel.”

“Looking forward, the differentials between inland and coastal crudes are fairly robust, which should contribute favorably to our first quarter results,” Jennings added.

To some up the Quarter, HollyFrontier Corp. stated it currently has a $350 Million Share repurchase program in place, and will continue to pay out its regular quarterly dividend of $0.10 a share.

HollyFrontier Corp. (NYSE:HFC) – Currently is trading down $-1.03 (3.26%) at $32.07.

Currently Shares of HFC are rated a HOLD, and a Year Target of $35.00.

English: Logo for DirecTV

Image via Wikipedia

DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV) – As from Q4 2011 reports U.S. Net customer additions dropped! However on another note it had rapid growth in Latin America. Currently in Brazil DirecTV remains the top market in both current base, and future. However there was talk that the subscriber growth will be not only slower for 2012, but the revenue made from each user will decline as well.

Now after all that is said what is there to expect out of DirecTV for 2012?

There is talk that growth in Latin America will continue, but not at the Rapid Rate it did in 2011 as other competitors have stepped into the market. DirecTV will surely push HD & DVR Services, but have great opportunities in Brazil. DirecTV has stated that they expect subscribers to grow by only 20% which is down 15% from 2011 growth rate of 35%.

“We expect that Brazil will continue to remain a dominating market. The pay-TV penetration in Brazil stood at little over 21% of the total households in 2011. The satellite companies gained close to 2.5 million subscribers in Brazil in 2011 with DirecTV leading the pack. It is clear that there is still plenty of opportunity to expand as almost 80% of the households do not have pay-TV subscription.” – Trefis.com

At the end of it all there is still a vary tough market out there for DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV) – Not only do the have to compete with other companies such as  Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) and Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) in the U.S. and local pay-TV service providers in Latin America,Brazil. DirecTV also has to worry about the ones who have decided to do away with actual live Cable/TV. Many have now moved and shifted to use streaming Movie,TV series technology like Hulu, Netflix.

At this Time there is no PoulTrend Alert out on shares of DirecTV. Shares are Rated a HOLD, and current August Target Price is $49.00

Over the past 52 weeks DirecTV(NASDAQ:DTV) has traded as low as $39.82-$53.40. Closing today at $45.15 +0.17 (0.38%).

Currently I do not hold any Positions of  DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV), Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) or Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) and have no plans to in the next 3 trading days.

 

 

Here are some Upgrades & Downgrades as of January 31st,2012

Upgrades

Downgrades

  • Monster Beverage (MNST) downgraded by CLSA from Buy to Outperform
  • Potash (POT) downgraded by Goldman from Buy to Neutral
  • Barclays (BCS) downgraded by WestLB from Buy to Add
  • Plum Creek Timber (PCL) downgraded by UBS from Neutral to Sell
  • Pep Boys (PBY) downgraded by Benchmark Co. from Buy to Hold

 

Out of all the above talked about stocks out there the ones that catch my eye the most are (NKE), (UA), (MNST), (POT).

Currently I do not own any Shares of the above talked about investments and have no plans to make a position within the next 3 trading days.

 

Yamana Gold, Inc. (USA) – (NYSE:AUY) -a gold producer engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of mineral properties in Brazil, Argentina, Honduras and Nicaragua. 
Yamana Gold Inc. has traded well over the past 52 weeks from a low of $10.88, and a high of $17.47. Today (NYSE:AUY) closed up $1.51 (9.80%) to finish the trading day at $16.92. Since PoulTrend Alert was Announced on 10/19/2011 at $15.01 has climbed over 12%. Currently I have (AUY) Rated a BUY, HOLD and a yearly target price at $20.00

Things to Like!

  • Pays out a solid 0.05/1/18% Dividend/Yield.
  • Own Properties in one of the fastest growing Emerging Markets in Brazil. 

Vista Gold Corp. – (NYSEAMEX-VGZ) -The Company is currently engaged in the evaluation, acquisition, exploration and advancement of gold exploration and potential development projects.
Vista Gold Corp. over the past 52 weeks has traded at a low of $2.40 and a high of $4.59. Today (NYSEAMEX:VGZ) closed up $0.33 (9.51%) to finish the trading day at $3.80. Since PoulTrend Alert was Announced on December 28th,2011 at $3.06 has climbed over 20%. Currently I have (VGZ) Rated a Buy, HOLD and a  target price of $4.75

Things to Like!

  • Has several gold projects in Mexico, Australia,
  • It also owns approximately 25% of the shares of Zamora Gold Corp., which is a company exploring for gold in Ecuador. 

Great Panther Silver Limited.- (NYSEAMEX:GPL) – Also known as (Great Panther) of which is a silver mining and exploration company. Great Panthers main focus is the mining of precious and base metals from its properties in Mexico. Two main primary mining properties are Guanajuato and Topia Mine

Great Panther over the past 52 weeks has traded as low as $1.78, high $5.04. At close today closed up +0.16 (6.45%) to finish the trading day at $2.64. Currently I have (GPL) Rated a Hold with a target price of $3.25.

May Want to Add to Watch List!

Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp (NYSE:CDE) – A Primary silver producer which is engaged, through its subsidiaries, in the operation and ownership, development & exploration of silver and gold mining properties and companies located within the United States, South America, Australia and Africa.

Transocean LTD.  (NYSE:RIG) – An Offshore drilling contractor. Transocean of who owns or operates mobile offshore drilling units, inland drilling barges, and many other assets utilized in the suppport of offshore drilling activities on a Worldwide Basis. Transocean also Specializes i technically demanding segments of the offshore drilling business, which includes harsh environmental drilling, and deepwater drilling services.

Since 10/31/2011 Transocean hit a High of $59.24 of which then resulted in a downtrend to a New 52 week Low of $38.21 right before the New Year. However since the New Year there has been a turnaround and a bounce back in share price up over 18% close to $7.00 a share trading today up 1% at $45.15.

Currently I Rate this Company a HOLD. Not only does Transocean have a big dividend at 0.79 a share but could see a decline in the dividend this coming year. This may mark for many to want to sell off, however if you are a long term investor you may want to wait out the storm, and hold onto this investment as there are many Consensus Analyst Price Target at or above $60.00 a share.

Currently I own a Long Term Position in Transocean (RIG).

Great Panther Silver Limited (NYSE:AMEX-GPL) – Also known as (Great Panther) is a silver mining exploration company. This companies main activities are on the mining of precious and base metals from their wholly owned properties in Mexico. The Company has two primary mining properties: Topia Mine and Guanajuato Mine. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiaries include Minera Mexicana el Rosario, S.A. de C.V., Metalicos de Durango, S.A. de C.V. and Minera de Villa Seca, S.A. de C.V.

Over the past 52 weeks not only has this stock traded as high as $5.04 a share, since the New Year Great Panther Limited has climbed from $1.95 to just over $2.40 a share.  Not only do I feel this Stock will have gains the coming months ahead, any decent news out on this company could spike investors attentions. Currently I have Great Panther Silver (GPL) Rated a BUY, and as of 1/21/2011 have added (GPL) to the PoulTrend Alert List!

 

Verizon: Paying Politicians to Rule the Air (g...Verizon Wireless – announced on Friday, 12/30/2011 there intentions on abandoning a $2 fee for the single bill payments which were planned to be in effect next month. Not only is this wonderful News for the Consumers out their as it now seems their voices are being heard. It was believed that Verizon was doing this as they wanted to discourage ones of who pay their bill by phone or online, and ones who like last minute payments.

Verizon Communications Inc. (Public,NYSE:VZ) -Ended the 2011 Year off in Solid Fashion. Not only is VZ trading close to 52 week highs at $40.25, Verizon has been on a real climb. Since January 1st 2010 Verizon closed at $35.78. During the past year, traded at a low of $32.28, since this low making a beautiful rebound of $7.97 close to $8.00 per share. During these 52 weeks has also keep up its strong Dividend of $0.49 first 3 Pervious months of the Year, and $0.50 its more recent quarter a Yield of 4.99%.

Currently I rate Verizon Wireless, a Hold.

Over the past 2 1/2 months we have seen the Market all over the Place.

Here are some of the 5  Best Performing Vanguard ETF’s Since August 22nd.

Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF – (VIG) – Has climbed from under $48.50 to close today at $53.64 of which is a $5.19 dollar climb, or +10.70%.

Notes : Currently has a Dividend/Yield of 0.28/2.14

Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF- (VCR) – Has climbed from $56.00 to close today at $61.34 a climb of $5.31 or +9.48%

Notes: Currently has a Dividend/Yield of 0.60/0.98

Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF- (MGC) – Has climbed from $38.50 to close today at $42.12 which is a $3.63 climb or +9.43%

Notes: Currently has a Dividend/Yield of 0.21.5/0.55

Vanguard Value ETF – (VTV) – Has climbed from $46.70 to close today at $50.89 which is a $4.21 dollar climb or +9.02%.

Notes: Currently has a Dividend/ Yield of 0.36/2.65

Vanguard Information Technology ETF – (VGT) – Has climbed from $57.37 to close today at $62.00 a climb of $4.63 or +8.07%

Notes: Currently has a Dividend/Yield of 0.36/0.58

 
For some of you Value Investors out there, or the Long Term Investor these might be ETF’s to add to your Watch Lists!

One Stock I am Building my Portfolio with! Of which I feel may be a High Risk, but at the same time offering me a possible long term growth investment both in value of share price threw both split’s, and dividend is

HollyFrontier Corp  Public, NYSE: HFC – formerly known as Holly Corporation, is an independent petroleum refiner that produces light products, such as gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, specialty lubricant products, and specialty and modified asphalt. Operates on two segments: Refining and Holly Energy Partners, L.P. (HEP).

 December 31, 2010,owned and operated three refineries consisting of a petroleum refinery in Artesia, New Mexico. This refinery of which operates in conjunction with vacuum, and crude oil distillation, and other facilities 65 miles away in Lovington, New Mexico (the Navajo Refinery, and a refinery in Woods Cross Utah/Tulsa Refinery.Owns and operates Holly Asphalt Company, and owns 75% interest in a 12-inch pipeline project from Salt Lake City Utah to Las Vegas Nevada.

In July 2011 had a Merger with Frontier Oil Company. Over the Past 52 week period HollyFrontier has traded between 15.69 – 38.90. During this span it also has announced a Dividend, and had a 2:1 Split.  Currently the Dividend is 0.09/1.10 which in time I expect to grow, and possible at Rapid Rates over the coming years ahead. Their may also be the possibility of a Bigger Company coming in, and making an offer on buying them out.

For instance if you read my post (9/6/2011) of this year I recommend (BEXP) of which opened at $29.31

Brigham Exploration Company (BEXP) – of which  engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the United States. The company owns property interests in the Onshore Gulf Coast consisting of the Vicksburg trend in Brooks County, Texas. Frio trend in and around Matagorda County, Texas. (BEXP) also has joint venture interests […]

Since this Post on October 25th their was an announcement that Brigham Exploration Company, was going to buy out all the outstanding shares of Brigham for $36.50.

HollyFrontier Financials

Not only do I believe we will still need oil, and oil refiners, for at least 10 possible 20 years. I tend to like Oil Refiners because of overall demand in supply of which has continues to grow each, and every year, and with the USA still number one in oil consumption from Cia.gov numbers. With the USA Dollar of which dropped some bit this year this may result in more demand from other countries which would essentially grow profits. Not to mention refiners do better when oil is down and Gas Climbs which for the better part of this past year Oil, has been quiet low. As of late oil however has made a climb back, and gas has dropped but Overall Long Term, I expect them both to climb. As I overlook the Balance Sheet there was a few things of which sparked my attention. One being Yes, that HollyFrontier has a solid Dividend, and has already had a 2:1 Split,Its P/E is 9.94 which I feel is quiet low.  My only concern is their accounts payable is equal to about 2/3 rds of their liquid assets, especially since a very serious chunk of those assets are accounts receivable. With the Economy as of late their could be a lot of debtors unable to pay at some point in time, or for long periods of time, even some not paying at all. This would then result in difficult paying their creditors. If this scenario was to occur they could possible drop long term assets. Over the coming months and years ahead I think there is great growth possible.

2010 Total Financials for year

Revenue at 8,322.93

Gross Profit 955.78.

Q1 & Q2 2011 Financials 

Revenue Q1 of 2,326.59, Q2 of 2,967.13 – Revenue has climbed each year since 2006 with one slight off year in 2009, which revenue was still over 50%.

Gross Profit has been Q1 of 341.97, Q2 of 520.04 – Has been solid since 2007, with 2010 out beating 2009 by 359.52

Numbers from 2010 Total Financials Down, are all in Millions.

Today (HFC) is trading around $31.50 around $7.50 off of its 52 week highs, and down $0.62 from yesterdays open.With a dividend of 0.09/yield of 1.11, EPS of 3.20, and AVG Volume around 4.10 Million which for today has only moved 700,000, and for less than 3 hours of trading left, its obvious many are sellers are offsetting the buyers, and that Volume on the day may not even meet Half the Avg. My theory being many are holding out the storm, waiting for Q3 earnings.

Currently I hold a long term position in (HFC)

Image representing Fusion-io as depicted in Cr...

Image via CrunchBase

Fusion-IO (FIO) Has been upgraded to a target price of $27.00. With Fusions High since realeasing as an IPO on June 10th, It climbed rapially to $36.98. Than since has been a steady climb down, and hit its bottom, on Thursday September 22nd at $14.90. With (FIO) closing on Friday 23rd, at $17.55 there is still a $10.00 upside.

Fusion-IO Inc.  is a provider of data-centric computing solutions: a combination of hardware and software that places data closer to processing. Fusion’s family of NAND flash-based ioMemory technologies offer a solution that scales to meet the needs of information technology (IT) administrators and partners and allows them to re-imagine how data centers can be architected. Fusion’s software solutions are built on the ioMemory Virtual Storage Layer (VSL), a flash-optimized operating system (OS) subsystem that allows ioMemory to interact with the central processing unit (CPU) and system memory as a tier of memory, and emulates a block-based storage device to applications. Its ioMemory is for data center applications. A single ioMemory module has the capacity of 100 memory modules, and the performance of 1,000 disk drives. -Google Fiance.com

Fusion-IO also have Partnerships with DELL,HP,IBM, and Supermicro. Not to mention Industries like Facebook use them to accelerate their enterprises, including social media,web business, security, government, and military organizations use Fusions ioMemory to supply their servers with all their critical data that they need to process and run at their needed speeds.

As of 9/25/2011 I call a PoulTrend Alert!

I feel fusion has the potential to rapidly grow in the next few years. This could be a great investment!